Calling It: Obama

We have pools for football, the Oscars, and celebrity deaths: why not make a pool where people predict the direction of our country for the next four years? I'm kicking this one off, making my state-by-state predictions for the 2008 elections. First a bit on my philosophy...

I think Palin managed to energize the evangelicals and the conservative base. In other words: she brings in the Bush vote. I also think that Palin will manage to polarize moderates, push away a large chunk of the Jewish vote, and do nothing to counter the youth and black vote that Obama is energizing. My honest assessment is the more-of-the-same team of McCain/Palin is going to bring in the more-of-the-same votes of Bush/Cheney. I think Obama is going to be able to keep the youth and black vote in high spirits and bring them to the polls in record numbers. With that in mind, I'm swinging a handful of the Clinton states back to Obama but giving Pennsylvania and Ohio to McCain, the only two battleground states I see him winning, primarily by letting the race card play itself. So, my map:



For McCain:



For Obama:


So I have Obama winning 324 electoral votes to 214. Am I being biased? Am I completely off with certain states? If you think so feel free to challenge me. Here's a blank map:

Make your own predictions, send me a link, and I'll link to you from this post.

Labels: editorial, politics

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